Beware the march of the childless voter - FT中文网
登录×
电子邮件/用户名
密码
记住我
请输入邮箱和密码进行绑定操作:
请输入手机号码,通过短信验证(目前仅支持中国大陆地区的手机号):
请您阅读我们的用户注册协议隐私权保护政策,点击下方按钮即视为您接受。
FT商学院

Beware the march of the childless voter

JD Vance’s attack on people without kids flies in the face of demographic reality
00:00

{"text":[[{"start":8.379999999999999,"text":"I feel being a mum means you have a very real stake in the future of our country. "},{"start":12.684000000000001,"text":"I have children who are going to have children who will directly be a part of what happens next, so it really keeps you focused. "}],[{"start":19.38,"text":"Those 43 words were uttered in 2016 by the UK’s then energy minister, Andrea Leadsom, as she tried to persuade Conservative party voters to make her their next leader instead of the childless Theresa May. "}],[{"start":31.32,"text":"Her comments sparked a wave of outrage after they appeared in The Times newspaper one Saturday. "},{"start":36.437,"text":"By Monday Leadsom had pulled out of the race. "}],[{"start":39.8,"text":"I keep remembering this every time I read about JD Vance’s rant against vice-president Kamala Harris and other “childless cat ladies” at the top of the Democratic party. "}],[{"start":49.19,"text":"“How does it make any sense that we’ve turned our country over to people who don’t really have a direct stake in it? ”"},{"start":54.207,"text":"asked Vance in a 2021 interview that resurfaced after he became Donald Trump’s running mate. "}],[{"start":59.76,"text":"His comments have prompted an even bigger surge of fury and happily for the Democrats, Vance cannot vanish as easily as Leadsom did because, apart from anything else, it would make Trump look foolish for picking him. "}],[{"start":71.57,"text":"I say “happily” because Vance’s comments are not just astronomically offensive and politically witless, they also betray a serious misunderstanding of where the world is heading in the first half of the 21st century. "}],[{"start":82.74,"text":"It’s well known that birth rates have plummeted in the US and other rich economies across the world. "},{"start":87.81899999999999,"text":"But a number of researchers say one of the chief drivers of this trend is that women are not merely having fewer children, they are increasingly having none at all. "}],[{"start":96.31,"text":"Some experts think childlessness has fuelled most of the drop in fertility in the US over the last couple of decades. "},{"start":102.602,"text":"The share of American women aged between 35 and 44 who have never had a kid rose from 16 per cent in 2012 to 20 per cent in 2022, one recent bit of analysis shows. "}],[{"start":113.98,"text":"Women are only part of the story. "}],[{"start":116.87,"text":"The share of childless Americans under 50, male and female, who say they are unlikely to ever have kids rose to 47 per cent in 2023, a 10 percentage point jump from 2018, a recent Pew study shows. "}],[{"start":130.32,"text":"The reason? "},{"start":131.587,"text":"Most say they simply don’t want to. "}],[{"start":134.23999999999998,"text":"The trend is similar elsewhere. "},{"start":136.469,"text":"Around a third of childless older millennials in the UK say they definitely won’t have a child, while another 20 per cent say they probably won’t. "}],[{"start":144.54,"text":"All this has interesting implications for the working world where those of us in the cat lady category have long been wildly outnumbered. "}],[{"start":151.94,"text":"Consider the always fraught matter of deciding who gets to take holidays when in a team. "},{"start":156.519,"text":"Speaking from personal experience, if you are the only childless employee in a team, it takes a certain level of temerity to insist on taking leave in school holidays if it means a parent of school-aged kids has to keep coming into the office. "},{"start":168.599,"text":"I imagine resistance will be easier once the ranks of the childless grow. "}],[{"start":173.51999999999998,"text":"In some jobs of course, being able to take vacation outside school break times is a perk. "},{"start":178.89899999999997,"text":"Flights and hotels can be cheaper. "},{"start":181.07899999999998,"text":"Roads and beaches are emptier. "}],[{"start":183.46999999999997,"text":"Sadly this does not work so well if you need to be on deck for important events or projects that are often arranged to avoid peak family holiday periods. "},{"start":191.53699999999998,"text":"The rise of childfree workers may well change that scheduling, and also the amount of work assigned. "}],[{"start":197.77999999999997,"text":"About a third of the childless Americans surveyed by Pew said they had been expected to take on extra work or responsibilities. "},{"start":204.34699999999998,"text":"A similar proportion said they were given less flexibility than parents. "}],[{"start":208.68999999999997,"text":"Again, you can imagine this sort of thing changing as the workplace fills with more non-parents. "}],[{"start":214.73999999999998,"text":"Still, it’s swings and roundabouts. "},{"start":217.49399999999997,"text":"Just over a third of those surveyed agreed that not having kids made it easier for them to network outside office hours. "},{"start":223.48699999999997,"text":"And 17 per cent said they had been given more opportunities for important assignments. "}],[{"start":228.90999999999997,"text":"Ultimately, what matters is a demographic shift is under way. "},{"start":232.77699999999996,"text":"The number of non-reproducers is already large and it’s rising, and unfortunately for JD Vance, these people may not have kids but they do have votes. "}],[{"start":240.63999999999996,"text":""}]],"url":"https://creatives.ftacademy.cn/album/166161-1722764573.mp3"}

版权声明:本文版权归FT中文网所有,未经允许任何单位或个人不得转载,复制或以任何其他方式使用本文全部或部分,侵权必究。

特朗普的新白宫

他的第一个任期在很大程度上依赖于党内的建制派。现在,他的核心圈子包括几位亿万富翁,并与新右翼的理念不谋而合。

美联储为什么不想谈特朗普?

杰伊•鲍威尔设定了一些限制。

从汽车到飞机:全球制造商准备迎接特朗普关税的冲击

多个行业的高管预计供应链将发生剧变。

哈马斯还剩下什么?

以色列认为它已摧毁了该组织在加沙的军事力量,但其残余势力将更难摧毁。

加拿大准备迎接特朗普的第二个总统任期

国防开支和农业保护可能会加剧与美国新政府的紧张关系。

特朗普考虑任命伯格姆为新的“能源沙皇”,以放松能源监管

该角色将对环境机构和规则拥有广泛的权力,以促进化石燃料的发展。
设置字号×
最小
较小
默认
较大
最大
分享×